WNBA · resolved market
Dream vs. Sun
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f5b6023eb48f2b424602acff6213cf2cfeb84f694be6be1703654c324c24bac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dreamof Dream, Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sun | 18c | 6,126$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.84 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Sun | 28c | 3,100$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.99 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sun | 16c | 2,625$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.01 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Sun | 21c | 2,560$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.37 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Sun | 17c | 2,048$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sun | 18c | 1,920$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.94 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dream | 80c | 1,757$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.09 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Dream | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.95 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Dream | 79c | 1,156$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.12 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Sun | 21c | 1,154$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Dream | 78c | 1,068$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.12 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Sun | 22c | 1,031$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Sun | 40c | 1,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Sun | 17c | 921.8$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.8 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Dream | 74c | 775.19$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.03 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Dream | 80c | 717.05$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Sun | 17c | 620.46$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Sun | 17c | 619.43$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Dream | 60c | 596.67$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.67 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sun | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Sun | 22c | 555.53$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.77 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Dream | 60c | 533.52$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.41 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Sun | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…5590backed Dream | 63c | 464.37$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Sun | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Dream | 60c | 412.5$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Sun | 37c | 410.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Dream | 78c | 376.66$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sun | 23c | 367$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.31 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dream | 71c | 323.75$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Sun | 30c | 313.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Sun | 15c | 308.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Sun | 32c | 269.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Sun | 24c | 253.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Sun | 16c | 201.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Sun | 17c | 182.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…713dbacked Sun | 31c | 180.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Sun | 17c | 149.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sun | 16c | 125.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Sun | 18c | 123.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sun | 41c | 100.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Dream | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Sun | 14c | 99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Sun | 32c | 84.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sun | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Sun | 16c | 75.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…a858backed Sun | 20c | 73.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Dream | 73c | 68.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Sun | 29c | 62.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Sun | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Sun | 17c | 59.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71c…3b29backed Sun | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…858bbacked Dream | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…2940backed Sun | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Sun | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…ea3dbacked Sun | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Dream | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Dream | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e00…ea54backed Dream | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf6…d0e7backed Dream | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.