MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce27dbd5110369216eda3e721a894863b2ad4b377e43b50a9cada3a284d86070
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Pirates, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $565,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $556,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $565,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Pirates | 39c | 396,405$154,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154,801.5 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Red Sox | 61c | 219,417$133,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,565.34 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Red Sox | 61c | 52,000$31,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,280 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Red Sox | 61c | 28,085$17,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,953.15 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 56c | 27,483$15,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,162.89 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Red Sox | 61c | 25,482$15,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,012.62 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Red Sox | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pirates | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.99 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Red Sox | 61c | 17,240$10,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,723.6 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Red Sox | 61c | 11,475$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,475.41 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 61c | 10,258$6,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,992.55 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pirates | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Pirates | 39c | 7,928$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.2 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ea…0fc1backed Pirates | 42c | 7,178$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 43c | 7,040$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.96 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 61c | 6,973$4,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695.87 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 43c | 6,967$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.3 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Red Sox | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Red Sox | 61c | 5,638$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.82 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pirates | 43c | 5,375$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Red Sox | 61c | 5,361$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.65 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pirates | 39c | 5,290$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.13 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Red Sox | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Pirates | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.99 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Red Sox | 54c | 4,528$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.42 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Pirates | 57c | 3,683$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 38c | 3,333$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.51 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 61c | 3,265$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.35 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox | 61c | 3,105$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.87 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pirates | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Red Sox | 61c | 2,884$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.95 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Red Sox | 61c | 2,750$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pirates | 39c | 2,650$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.5 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Red Sox | 58c | 2,432$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.97 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 60c | 2,182$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.93 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Red Sox | 61c | 2,131$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.15 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Red Sox | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Pirates | 39c | 1,795$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Red Sox | 61c | 1,720$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.72 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Pirates | 39c | 1,566$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.74 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Red Sox | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…776cbacked Pirates | 40c | 1,450$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Pirates | 22c | 1,267$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.36 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Pirates | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Pirates | 41c | 1,180$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.78 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pirates | 55c | 1,131$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.99 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Pirates | 39c | 1,111$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.72 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pirates | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 40c | 983.87$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.55 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 56c | 983.3$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.93 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Red Sox | 64c | 943.87$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.06 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Red Sox | 45c | 916$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.56 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Red Sox | 60c | 800$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.6 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 39c | 776.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.56 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…23d2backed Red Sox | 61c | 711.48$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.48 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Pirates | 27c | 677.77$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Pirates | 40c | 675$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Red Sox | 61c | 650$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Sox | 76c | 600$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Sox | 74c | 577.17$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.54 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Red Sox | 54c | 565.56$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.86 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc3…8fffbacked Pirates | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Pirates | 40c | 538.78$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.51 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Pirates | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Red Sox | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Red Sox | 61c | 486.84$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.87 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Red Sox | 61c | 454.1$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.1 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Sox | 60c | 449.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.75 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…5590backed Pirates | 52c | 445.96$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.47 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Sox | 60c | 389$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.02 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Red Sox | 61c | 377$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.62 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked Red Sox | 62c | 354.84$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.84 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…6712backed Red Sox | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Red Sox | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Sox | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Pirates | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Pirates | 39c | 259.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Pirates | 39c | 257$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 61c | 254.1$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Red Sox | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Pirates | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Pirates | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Pirates | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Pirates | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Pirates | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Pirates | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e00…c26cbacked Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Red Sox | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pirates vs. Red Soxthis page
- Pirates vs. Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.