Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. LGD Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48d4c3c382310ee9aa0e26c4beb691585fb367da62562a12fd6277c0449d0c57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JD Gamingof JD Gaming, LGD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked LGD Gaming | 14c | 38,075$5,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,328.07 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked LGD Gaming | 14c | 26,328$3,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,685.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LGD Gaming | 4c | 25,981$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.41 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed LGD Gaming | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked LGD Gaming | 12c | 8,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 303 | 21.8%66 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…610ebacked LGD Gaming | 12c | 3,959$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.34 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed LGD Gaming | 14c | 3,392$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.93 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed LGD Gaming | 2c | 2,955$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 174 | 10.9%19 W · 155 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed LGD Gaming | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed LGD Gaming | 13c | 1,926$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.34 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed LGD Gaming | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed LGD Gaming | 15c | 1,111$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.44 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed LGD Gaming | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed LGD Gaming | 10c | 1,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked LGD Gaming | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed LGD Gaming | 3c | 866.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed LGD Gaming | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed LGD Gaming | 9c | 699.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed LGD Gaming | 4c | 415$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked LGD Gaming | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed LGD Gaming | 8c | 292.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked LGD Gaming | 12c | 288.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed LGD Gaming | 13c | 207.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed LGD Gaming | 10c | 207$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…cecbbacked LGD Gaming | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e89…bb29backed LGD Gaming | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked LGD Gaming | 10c | 162.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed LGD Gaming | 21c | 140.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked LGD Gaming | 10c | 100.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed LGD Gaming | 21c | 95.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.