Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-08-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f1508ee7247e072bac23088dd9c2175f6cfba6e4ad1717e5888e529f954224c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 58c | 30,609$17,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,632.9 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…35d0backed Yes | 44c | 29,611$13,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,553.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 42c | 7,181$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.74 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes | 36c | 6,000$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 61c | 3,026$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.77 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 32c | 2,490$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.2 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed No | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 1,386$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.48 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 66c | 1,324$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.83 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 66c | 1,275$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.8 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 46c | 1,196$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.85 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yes | 36c | 1,185$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 53c | 1,135$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.96 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 1,063$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.58 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 68c | 998.57$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 34c | 796.72$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.83 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 54c | 779.36$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.36 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…57e6backed Yes | 40c | 747.3$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 66c | 713.51$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 60c | 645.57$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.03 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 65c | 544.76$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.54 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 65c | 513.41$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.06 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 60c | 500.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.28 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 66c | 477.22$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.01 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 34c | 422.56$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.89 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…2b55backed Yes | 60c | 417.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 53c | 363.26$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.53 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 20c | 350$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked No | 45c | 308.58$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.41 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 283.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.95 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 49c | 266.63$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.63 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed No | 58c | 264.7$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 45c | 243.27$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…438abacked No | 68c | 221.69$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 68c | 210$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked No | 67c | 187.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 61c | 163.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 49c | 139$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 35c | 122$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 58c | 102.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 61c | 98.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 60c | 83.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 33c | 81.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 38c | 76.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Yes | 45c | 55.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…bf07backed Yes | 61c | 49.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 33c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…c311backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…effdbacked Yes | 40c | 39.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 57c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…8be1backed Yes | 41c | 35.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea0…d4a4backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62b…7a20backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e0…f941backed No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 65c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…e242backed No | 68c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…92c7backed No | 67c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-08-31?this page
- Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?No won
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-08-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.