TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2025 Leagues Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,275 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33bc…37dcbacked No64c599.99$381 inLost-$3814047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No47c500$235 inLost-$235.348344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e86…93c2backed Yes53c500$265 inWon+$2357100%7 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+121.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe52f…e6b0backed Yes20c300$60 inWon+$240250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+150%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa791…bf23backed Yes53c200$106 inWon+$94825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-51.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Yes50c172.85$86 inWon+$871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes51c78$40 inWon+$38.41752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39ff…d637backed No55c72.86$40 inLost-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…f2f0backed No44c70$31 inLost-$30.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29be…7675backed No51c51.41$26 inLost-$26.11850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.