Mls · resolved market
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2025 Leagues Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ef6cf55fcab2d93e004461b6bd6db0eb974af92d560291612ed1278e47dba38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 70c | 867.21$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 52c | 671.79$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb85…c080backed Yes | 48c | 514.81$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed No | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…cd94backed Yes | 47c | 274.03$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff23…0c1cbacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 13c | 247$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…3b47backed Yes | 14c | 220$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…27bcbacked Yes | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 47c | 201$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd6…a5e2backed Yes | 24c | 179.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked No | 56c | 124$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b12…30d8backed Yes | 46c | 107$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 71c | 106.32$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 54c | 104.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…5bb5backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29be…7675backed Yes | 48c | 93.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Miami CF win the 2025 Leagues Cup?this page
- Will Columbus Crew win the 2025 Leagues Cup?No won
- Will LA Galaxy win the 2025 Leagues Cup?No won
- Will Orlando City SC win the 2025 Leagues Cup?No won
- Will San Diego FC win the 2025 Leagues Cup?No won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2025 Leagues Cup?Yes won
- Will Tigres UANL win the 2025 Leagues Cup?No won
- Will Toluca win the 2025 Leagues Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.