Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. KT Rolster
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x970cefb952eaefb50635482bc63e1c51ee003627d8b3cd1cfbe66480ace5b354
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Rolsterof Nongshim, KT Rolster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nongshim | 16c | 11,276$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.2 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked KT Rolster | 74c | 10,999$8,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nongshim | 26c | 7,829$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.74 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed Nongshim | 5c | 5,161$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.06 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Nongshim | 9c | 3,590$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.32 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Nongshim | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Nongshim | 23c | 1,885$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.9 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nongshim | 24c | 1,500$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.88 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed KT Rolster | 75c | 1,425$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.25 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked KT Rolster | 73c | 1,372$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.05 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…9bc5backed KT Rolster | 73c | 1,369$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.63 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed KT Rolster | 73c | 1,100$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.49 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Nongshim | 15c | 1,081$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.15 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Nongshim | 11c | 745.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nongshim | 8c | 686.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Nongshim | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed KT Rolster | 73c | 476.45$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.77 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Nongshim | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed KT Rolster | 80c | 306.02$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Nongshim | 29c | 290$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked KT Rolster | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4f…a90bbacked Nongshim | 16c | 235.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked KT Rolster | 75c | 235$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Nongshim | 26c | 201.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked KT Rolster | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Nongshim | 24c | 181.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed KT Rolster | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed KT Rolster | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11dd…1bafbacked KT Rolster | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Nongshim | 25c | 98.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Nongshim | 27c | 95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Nongshim | 26c | 81.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed5…5b04backed KT Rolster | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked Nongshim | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed KT Rolster | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 302 | 43%130 W · 172 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed KT Rolster | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 162 | 64.2%104 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked KT Rolster | 73c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked KT Rolster | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 345 | 65.5%226 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…af34backed KT Rolster | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.