TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ed5…5b04

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT5054%27 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.89
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$23.51
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.32
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.74
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.59
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.56
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$62.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$20.18
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+57%+$33.01
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$33.45
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$3.42
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.53
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.61
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.65
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.4
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.49
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.55
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.1
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.7
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.68
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$37.53
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.9
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$42.42
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$19.88
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT vs HLEbacked KT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.87
LoL: HLE vs T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.