MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e2c064a89e2f3555fb30752a667447c837269d4ae1f5f7848a4fc371488b375
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $564,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $570,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $564,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Mets | 65c | 488,267$316,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316,003.27 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Marlins | 35c | 149,493$52,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,170.65 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Marlins | 36c | 55,893$19,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,901.62 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Marlins | 36c | 55,000$19,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,450 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 35c | 50,500$17,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,579.68 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 35c | 33,937$11,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,059.14 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Marlins | 36c | 25,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 35c | 17,327$6,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,262.39 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 39c | 13,740$5,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,412.67 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Marlins | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Mets | 66c | 9,761$6,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,396.57 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Marlins | 38c | 9,237$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,726.94 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Marlins | 37c | 9,166$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,734.85 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 35c | 7,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 36c | 6,612$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,263.85 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Marlins | 35c | 5,284$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434.6 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 36c | 3,476$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.67 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Marlins | 35c | 3,300$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Marlins | 36c | 2,720$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.8 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Marlins | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Marlins | 38c | 1,644$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.28 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Marlins | 37c | 1,541$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.83 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Marlins | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.42 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Marlins | 37c | 1,360$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.75 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 36c | 1,185$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.04 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Marlins | 36c | 1,182$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.48 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mets | 63c | 1,171$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.31 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Mets | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Marlins | 37c | 850$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.5 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mets | 65c | 844.68$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.04 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Marlins | 35c | 837.45$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.74 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Marlins | 38c | 789$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.18 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Mets | 52c | 770$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 39c | 769$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.09 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mets | 4c | 692.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Marlins | 36c | 661$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.65 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Marlins | 36c | 653.96$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.53 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Marlins | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 37c | 577$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.51 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins | 37c | 561.54$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.77 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Marlins | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Mets | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Marlins | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mets | 63c | 473.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Marlins | 38c | 468$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.16 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc3…8fffbacked Marlins | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Marlins | 37c | 407.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.92 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked Mets | 64c | 375$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Mets | 62c | 353.21$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.99 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 37c | 350.49$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.58 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Marlins | 37c | 339.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.19 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Marlins | 36c | 336.89$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.61 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Marlins | 36c | 336.89$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.61 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…6712backed Mets | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mets | 10c | 301.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Marlins | 38c | 276.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.32 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Marlins | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba8…c2cabacked Marlins | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Marlins | 35c | 260$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 58c | 255.81$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Marlins | 37c | 249.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Marlins | 35c | 208.57$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.57 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Marlins | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Mets | 32c | 185.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…f6edbacked Mets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mets | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…e822backed Marlins | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Marlins | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…67a5backed Mets | 62c | 130$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Marlins | 39c | 128$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Mets | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Marlins | 39c | 102$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…7645backed Mets | 39c | 88.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 13c | 85.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mets | 19c | 72.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Mets | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Mets | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Marlins | 37c | 62.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Marlins | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Marlins | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Marlins | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Mets | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Marlins | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…b1cfbacked Mets | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…bf7abacked Mets | 65c | 46.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 192 | 42.2%81 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Marlins | 36c | 41.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Marlins | 36c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Marlins | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins | 39c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Mets | 55c | 36.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Mets | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce1…9ec6backed Marlins | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…88c5backed Mets | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…7505backed Marlins | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Marlins | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mets | 56c | 26.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x618c…4215backed Mets | 62c | 17.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marlins vs. Metsthis page
- Marlins vs. Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.