Fifa International · resolved market
Will Albania win on 2025-09-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1196532c69de5ec1e1a21decc890c00c9700ffaed1449a8c19c3f55e740b966c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd16a…7691backed No | 27c | 26,100$7,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,047 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 23,831$17,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,306.5 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 73c | 16,087$11,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,343.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 27c | 10,999$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.73 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 73c | 2,015$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.18 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 27c | 970$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.9 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 28c | 599.94$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.98 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Yes | 71c | 526.78$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.77 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 28c | 399.72$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 72c | 319.45$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb765…f696backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 75c | 268$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 131 | 59.5%78 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 28c | 228.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 26c | 185$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 68c | 156.25$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed No | 25c | 148.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 72c | 95.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 25c | 93.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…2725backed Yes | 75c | 78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b8…439ebacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 27c | 56.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 75c | 33.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 75c | 30.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…ccdbbacked Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…70a9backed Yes | 73c | 27.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…ba1abacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…c839backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8da…116fbacked Yes | 73c | 14.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 72c | 14.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albania win on 2025-09-09?this page
- Will Albania vs. Latvia end in a draw?No won
- Will Latvia win on 2025-09-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.