TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

US Open: Jessica Pegula vs Barbora Krejcikova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pegulaof Pegula, Krejcikova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,246
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,497

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,246 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb230…4193backed Pegula72c15,659$11,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,447.758052.5%42 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Krejcikova30c13,102$3,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,930.5628443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Krejcikova28c10,000$2,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82516140.4%65 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Krejcikova9c9,642$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.7965242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Krejcikova30c7,979$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.912157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+48%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0344…a65ebacked Krejcikova27c7,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9201662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Pegula70c7,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10064755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Krejcikova29c6,351$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.732733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Pegula73c6,000$4,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.645950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Pegula71c4,930$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.5811053.6%59 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5950…8c48backed Krejcikova21c4,300$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.54137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick27cpaid-87.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Pegula70c4,289$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.7633955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Krejcikova12c4,165$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.823933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Krejcikova27c3,815$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.0315957.2%91 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x24c2…10cebacked Pegula70c3,175$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.46837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-39.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3868…5683backed Krejcikova31c3,000$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.17330.1%22 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Krejcikova5c2,372$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2218740.6%76 W · 111 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Krejcikova14c2,289$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9332141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Pegula70c1,641$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.2714949%73 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Krejcikova13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Krejcikova6c1,517$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914025%10 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Krejcikova13c1,351$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.772,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Krejcikova13c1,257$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.961,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e1…9c10backed Pegula71c1,225$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.357061.4%43 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Krejcikova18c1,178$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.9611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Krejcikova15c1,110$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0613245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Krejcikova15c1,049$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.398949.4%44 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Krejcikova29c1,025$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.2522629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Krejcikova6c1,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5581938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Krejcikova6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602532%8 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Krejcikova28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Krejcikova31c999.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31025244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5de…332bbacked Pegula71c973.24$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.24850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Pegula69c965.99$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.4628828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Pegula74c851.05$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.085869%40 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Krejcikova30c833.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25051243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Pegula71c800$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23211652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee72…891cbacked Krejcikova31c776.38$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Krejcikova14c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Krejcikova16c631.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c40…ea3dbacked Krejcikova14c600$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Krejcikova29c599.98$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17415724.8%39 W · 118 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Pegula72c577.94$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.861,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Krejcikova9c534.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Pegula71c513.03$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.7814850%74 W · 74 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Pegula69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15531650%158 W · 158 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e86…93c2backed Krejcikova28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Pegula70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pegula68c482.48$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.3995140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed Krejcikova6c433$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.986136.1%22 W · 39 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Krejcikova21c403$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.125330%76 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Pegula70c394.15$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.288562.4%53 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed Krejcikova10c385$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.552634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Krejcikova27c363.52$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1529553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Krejcikova30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Krejcikova30c333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.925722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffc3…8fffbacked Krejcikova26c303.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-72%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Krejcikova30c299.3$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4755143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed Krejcikova14c296.94$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.154456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Pegula73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9725352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Krejcikova30c272.16$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6512231.1%38 W · 84 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab6…cfecbacked Krejcikova20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012927.1%35 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2b…c5d0backed Krejcikova6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Krejcikova6c250$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.171,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70d2…f395backed Pegula70c215.6$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.683070%21 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+44.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Pegula71c204.23$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2338356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Krejcikova12c195$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7575547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Krejcikova30c186.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5616445.7%75 W · 89 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Krejcikova31c181.79$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.35277.4%2 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick26cpaid-77%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Krejcikova11c181.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9449632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Pegula71c146.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6312737.8%48 W · 79 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a6…d90cbacked Krejcikova24c145.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Pegula71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8571857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pegula71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8573147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Pegula72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8943158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6a…3319backed Pegula70c138.5$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.551662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Krejcikova26c129.59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.691,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Pegula74c129.59$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6932161.7%198 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1424…4f78backed Krejcikova31c106.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3312843%55 W · 73 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Pegula69c101.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4513864.5%89 W · 49 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Krejcikova27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278522.4%19 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Pegula68c93.75$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Pegula69c92.54$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6926045%117 W · 143 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc1…ec40backed Pegula69c91.3$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3149…9762backed Pegula71c83.1$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.15265.4%34 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Krejcikova20c79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.548943.8%39 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Krejcikova28c71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.881,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Pegula71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4221454.7%117 W · 97 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b5…5414backed Krejcikova31c48.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.112030%6 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x81b6…9c1fbacked Krejcikova31c42.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.06850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Krejcikova32c41.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1710956.9%62 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Pegula70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7149955.1%275 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd766…acfcbacked Krejcikova32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcefc…a993backed Pegula71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.173100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c07…e331backed Pegula70c15.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.