Fifa International · resolved market
Will Switzerland win on 2025-09-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69ce7d7ecb23004c5b5c61cca2abbc69cf1468d2d6b315abd627516ac621b0d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 9,847$6,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.38 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 67c | 8,395$5,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.18 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…2f1fbacked Yes | 71c | 7,031$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 29c | 4,514$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.81 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 32c | 4,066$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.1 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 32c | 2,620$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.76 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 67c | 2,316$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.11 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked No | 33c | 2,292$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.04 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 29c | 1,630$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.6 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 30c | 1,563$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.97 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 32c | 1,206$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.73 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 71c | 1,127$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.76 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 17c | 972.96$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.28 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 69c | 640.17$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 32c | 599.61$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.09 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed No | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 68c | 473$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 131 | 59.5%78 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 68c | 313.24$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 68c | 292$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 35c | 284$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 33c | 280.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.66 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…8d2cbacked Yes | 70c | 250.47$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 28c | 250$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 68c | 172.66$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 70c | 159.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…d761backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…fd36backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3241…0297backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 19c | 99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Yes | 74c | 81.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x937b…07ddbacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…3ab9backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…eb80backed Yes | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 36c | 68.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 66c | 59.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 64c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 69c | 46.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…08a6backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 33c | 43.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79d5…1b49backed Yes | 66c | 40.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…a71dbacked Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…3011backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…b073backed Yes | 69c | 36.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3f…512cbacked Yes | 67c | 34.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 66c | 30.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…f3cdbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…31a3backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 69c | 30.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…8e9bbacked Yes | 67c | 29.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x188e…4812backed Yes | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…ae45backed Yes | 65c | 26.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…9122backed Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…c839backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Yes | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Switzerland win on 2025-09-08?this page
- Will Slovenia win on 2025-09-08?No won
- Will Switzerland vs. Slovenia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.