MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50c53a05f5372766f2a6dc7276de64684bd9b23d647ae42dabbf548b64936710
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $313,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Padres | 67c | 60,472$40,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,313.24 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Reds | 43c | 35,087$15,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,999.49 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Padres | 57c | 35,000$19,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,950 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 42c | 34,106$14,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,781.38 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 53c | 29,394$15,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,696.81 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Padres | 58c | 25,500$14,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,790 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 36c | 12,132$4,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,765.71 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Reds | 36c | 11,757$4,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,554.04 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Reds | 35c | 11,586$4,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,566.52 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 35c | 10,544$3,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,667.77 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Padres | 16c | 9,068$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.85 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 32c | 8,713$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,934.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Reds | 42c | 8,696$3,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,018.53 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Padres | 62c | 6,698$4,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,152.46 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 56c | 5,580$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.97 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Reds | 43c | 5,015$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Padres | 57c | 3,821$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.97 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Padres | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Reds | 17c | 2,335$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.2 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Reds | 30c | 1,767$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.85 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Padres | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Reds | 52c | 1,580$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.73 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Padres | 60c | 1,548$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.79 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Reds | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Padres | 56c | 1,495$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.32 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Reds | 42c | 1,489$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.79 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Reds | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.21 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 31c | 1,107$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.05 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Padres | 49c | 1,081$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.05 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Reds | 40c | 1,053$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.75 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Reds | 42c | 930$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.4 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…ee20backed Reds | 36c | 841.85$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.85 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 42c | 787.71$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.73 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Reds | 16c | 776.19$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.19 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Padres | 29c | 761$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.19 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 59c | 676.99$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.43 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Padres | 57c | 675.44$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Reds | 44c | 647.73$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.73 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 57c | 643.52$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.51 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Padres | 70c | 604.83$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.38 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Reds | 41c | 600$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Reds | 42c | 582.23$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.7 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Padres | 72c | 553$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.72 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Reds | 44c | 531$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.57 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 56c | 527$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.21 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Padres | 57c | 525.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28e…86c8backed Reds | 27c | 525$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.85 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Padres | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Padres | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Reds | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Padres | 59c | 486.79$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.21 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Reds | 41c | 475.62$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.65 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a1…24f8backed Reds | 32c | 470.91$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.46 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Reds | 43c | 465.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.11 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Padres | 64c | 405$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Reds | 41c | 396.4$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.13 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Reds | 42c | 388.23$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.86 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Reds | 43c | 373.98$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.17 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 57c | 360$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 57c | 350.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Padres | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 30c | 335.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.44 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 37c | 320.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.68 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Padres | 49c | 311.45$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.64 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Reds | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Reds | 43c | 281$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.17 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…60ddbacked Padres | 21c | 271.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Padres | 58c | 249.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 59c | 240.68$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…a37ebacked Padres | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Padres | 60c | 220$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Reds | 41c | 206.87$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.05 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Reds | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Padres | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Padres | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Reds | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Padres | 57c | 180.53$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Padres | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Padres | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c8…9be5backed Padres | 60c | 173.33$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Padres | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Reds | 21c | 150$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c8…4b32backed Padres | 17c | 141.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Padres | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Padres | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Padres | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…d90cbacked Reds | 42c | 126.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Padres | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 17c | 108.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Reds | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Padres | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Padres | 57c | 97.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Padres | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Reds vs. Padresthis page
- NRFI: Reds vs. PadresYes won
- Reds vs. Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.