Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KRC Genk win on 2025-10-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aad3d87e6a1067a32f3d3166f31e3601ec72f9f2c2a501d78c1e1d8b9142f47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd16a…7691backed No | 49c | 20,000$9,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,209.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 1,167$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.72 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 47c | 1,111$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.83 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes | 52c | 1,101$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.3 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 43c | 593.89$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.98 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 54c | 503.44$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.79 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Yes | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 53c | 466.89$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.45 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Yes | 55c | 454$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…3c12backed Yes | 32c | 442$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 60c | 406.08$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.65 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 26c | 377.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 51c | 346.4$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.66 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 45c | 236$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 48c | 208.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 57c | 176.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 20c | 153.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 143.66$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 43c | 126.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 52c | 119.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 56c | 111.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 46c | 77.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 54c | 73.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 44c | 56.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 50c | 54.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed No | 45c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 55c | 49.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 54c | 49.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 44c | 49.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…3d62backed Yes | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 76c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes | 56c | 35.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…0009backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 55c | 27.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KRC Genk win on 2025-10-02?this page
- Will Ferencvarosi TC win on 2025-10-02?Yes won
- Will KRC Genk vs. Ferencvarosi TC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.