WNBA · resolved market
Dream vs Mystics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x496156c235c3a11db9003bb7a8469a9ef93670ec60d06246ae2255a5b3256697
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mysticsof Dream, Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mystics | 32c | 50,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,999.96 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dream | 68c | 21,453$14,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,588.04 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Dream | 68c | 15,698$10,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,674.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Dream | 68c | 10,101$6,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,871.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Dream | 68c | 1,010$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Dream | 68c | 643.59$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Dream | 68c | 620.59$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Dream | 72c | 550.28$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.2 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mystics | 28c | 535.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.47 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Dream | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Dream | 74c | 132.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 71cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Dream | 58c | 114.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed Dream | 45c | 82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dream | 67c | 59.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Dream | 69c | 59.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Dream | 32c | 56.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Dream | 72c | 41.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Dream | 71c | 40.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…b20dbacked Dream | 50c | 23.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Dream | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.