TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Knicks beat the Celtics 4-2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,138
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,463

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,138 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe9c2…2b38backed No65c33,022$21,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,497.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3aa1…fa5ebacked Yes35c33,022$11,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,497.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+186.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed No42c4,981$2,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.1346426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa020…d807backed Yes16c3,963$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,343.74221.4%9 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes58c3,667$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.432,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe80…1b41backed Yes14c2,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7204141.5%17 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes34c1,547$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.7822750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes14c904.16$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.5835049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes13c770$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.917326.6%46 W · 127 L+0.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Yes18c693.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.9914727.9%41 W · 106 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No4c654.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.461,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes17c547.75$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.523935.9%14 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+62.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Yes51c425.95$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.611741.9%49 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes18c392.18$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.359747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e27…0ee1backed Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.697343.8%32 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf03…0418backed Yes35c295.8$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+73.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No72c262.33$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3318536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed Yes47c197.05$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.294551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Yes56c149.97$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1436747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed No43c148.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.673020%6 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a3d…8322backed Yes57c148.08$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775c…79eebacked Yes34c115$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.92425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…71eebacked Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.114537.8%17 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes14c101.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9716537%61 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes14c100.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0926048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17d3…9a72backed Yes18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6367…e938backed Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.64734%16 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+44.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13ce…244abacked No45c94.75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No42c80.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9122041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No43c72.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.751,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0848…4350backed No45c68.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a9a…7c37backed Yes57c63.56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x577a…4349backed Yes57c59.75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.53475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Yes55c59.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3923135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca61…3e02backed Yes58c50.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff26…b20dbacked Yes79c50.37$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.653154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91b5…8399backed Yes58c49.93$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5e…fde7backed No44c49.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f68…74b4backed No44c49.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1da…b1eabacked Yes57c45.61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87d7…14a4backed No45c44.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe80e…e9ebbacked No44c42.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d83…3373backed Yes56c35.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.595030%15 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccb9…8cb6backed Yes58c34.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacfc…debcbacked No44c34.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c54…19b4backed No44c34.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc87…20b7backed No45c34.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff7…4ae6backed No44c32.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a9…d049backed No45c31.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff5…2d49backed No45c31.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb3…8c4cbacked Yes57c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85f8…3090backed No43c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ccb…c83bbacked Yes57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8604…d458backed No43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d17…a6f4backed No44c29.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac86…640ebacked Yes57c27.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ab…ca9abacked Yes57c26.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0805…31c0backed No45c26.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa951…1f6bbacked No44c26.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4440%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3987…ce34backed No43c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27bf…7f96backed Yes58c25.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3888…0c9cbacked No43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c0a…0d4cbacked Yes57c24.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ad…c1a9backed No43c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31e6…60bebacked No44c23.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8394…add5backed Yes58c23.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa94b…925fbacked Yes57c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78ad…e065backed Yes57c20.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9814560.7%88 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cc2…73f9backed Yes57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d8e…c9a8backed Yes57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d44…00b7backed Yes57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6da4…9586backed Yes57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x690d…bfc7backed Yes57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…4930backed Yes57c19.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+109.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64f7…21a3backed Yes57c19.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac42…06d5backed Yes57c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+142.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6910…8dbdbacked Yes57c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b0…18f0backed Yes57c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6da0…1d03backed Yes57c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6db2…087cbacked Yes57c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b99…e9ebbacked Yes57c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf8…de8abacked Yes57c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7611…ef71backed Yes57c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb549…cba2backed Yes56c18.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d67…feb1backed Yes57c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c90…27fabacked Yes57c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67fa…4d83backed Yes57c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6de3…5209backed Yes57c17.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-56.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20cc…1c9ebacked Yes57c17.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bb7…a1c9backed Yes58c17.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.