Golf · resolved market
Will the 2025 Ryder Cup end in a tie?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd72f36a2f87174d10b2751d6d94ac62f84edcdc65bbe7f3fba31d01c70ec3d1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 6c | 66,214$3,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,972.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes | 7c | 48,755$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.84 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Yes | 7c | 41,885$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 4c | 38,388$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…6088backed Yes | 3c | 37,078$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Yes | 7c | 23,712$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 2c | 10,992$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 7c | 3,540$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.8 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 16c | 3,412$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 12c | 3,086$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.84 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 6c | 2,581$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.59 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…875cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,300$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 6c | 1,865$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…c91ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,825$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 122 | 7.4%9 W · 113 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 6c | 1,563$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…ca89backed Yes | 8c | 1,251$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0d…4361backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,043$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 295 | 3.7%11 W · 284 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 6c | 543$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…2ebebacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…399bbacked Yes | 7c | 480.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…79a0backed Yes | 9c | 458.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Yes | 7c | 446.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Yes | 16c | 363.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…d1f9backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c73…0fd5backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1d…40d8backed Yes | 20c | 254.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…8ad7backed Yes | 12c | 166.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…0720backed Yes | 19c | 160.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Yes | 19c | 61.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…b20dbacked No | 80c | 18.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the 2025 Ryder Cup end in a tie?this page
- Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?Yes won
- Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.