TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Olympics · resolved market

Will William Dandjinou (CAN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,080 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Olympics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32d0…6070backed Yes41c168.21$69 inLost-$68.841650%8 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No59c155.79$92 inWon+$63.8711858.5%69 W · 49 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Yes29c97.04$28 inLost-$28.141844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb835…2e51backed No71c97.04$69 inWon+$28.14560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes34c69.73$24 inLost-$23.962123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-60.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed No61c63$38 inWon+$24.572343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes39c63$25 inLost-$24.571127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff26…b20dbacked No71c59.99$43 inWon+$17.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3008…2489backed Yes28c49.3$14 inLost-$14922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-56.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0228…aa02backed Yes28c40.62$11 inLost-$11.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No70c33.33$23 inWon+$105366%35 W · 18 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+40%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked No75c25.85$19 inWon+$6.471181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4bc…a87fbacked No67c20$13 inWon+$6.62050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No65c19.66$13 inWon+$6.882948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.