Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b077d73991473e91a625951f3521eed0184664a021dc0f88de2f16692381d93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 8,608$4,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,039.86 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Under | 48c | 6,767$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.16 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 685.52$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.63 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 57c | 270.31$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.71 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Under | 54c | 266.82$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.08 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 52c | 242$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.96 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 230.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.41 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 30c | 206.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.92 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 44c | 147.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Under | 63c | 130$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 127.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 111.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Over | 61c | 93.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 52c | 90.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Over | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 49c | 79.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 46c | 74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…7b6bbacked Over | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb28d…5af8backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…b20dbacked Over | 55c | 32.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Over | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Over | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 57c | 24.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 147.5this page
- Spread: Pittsburgh Panthers (-1.5)Pittsburgh Panthers won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Panthers (-2.5)Pittsburgh Panthers won
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Pittsburgh PanthersPittsburgh Panthers won
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 148.5Over won
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 150.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.