Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00538d85ff6464fc180788ed9a0ed2cc3a43449a79b2d2819744b150c167f8e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Over | 51c | 1,571$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.98 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 341.53$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 52c | 149.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 44c | 124$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 50c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 89.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Over | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Over | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Under | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Over | 77c | 16.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 148.5this page
- Spread: Pittsburgh Panthers (-1.5)Pittsburgh Panthers won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Panthers (-2.5)Pittsburgh Panthers won
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Pittsburgh PanthersPittsburgh Panthers won
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 147.5Over won
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 150.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.