Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PSV win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa62a709d79215df7082e43d73bfd4d557efd5a7e31bee3c3a62c1f7c591f8e9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 56c | 22,326$12,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,823.44 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 3,363$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.95 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 2,790$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.35 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 63c | 2,615$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.41 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 30c | 1,941$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.78 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 59c | 832$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 64c | 776.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.31 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 36c | 600$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 37c | 540.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.52 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…1316backed Yes | 78c | 450.2$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 39c | 420$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 43c | 335.66$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.67 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…d4c7backed Yes | 36c | 330$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…15eabacked Yes | 36c | 277.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 58c | 213.04$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…37fabacked Yes | 42c | 207.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.98 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 37c | 152.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…920cbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked Yes | 72c | 138.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b0…3508backed Yes | 43c | 126.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed No | 63c | 79.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x543c…edabbacked Yes | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 62c | 59.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…e38fbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…2e44backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 43c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…b20dbacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…8914backed Yes | 73c | 28.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed Yes | 73c | 26.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 61c | 25.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…44cdbacked Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSV win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. PSV end in a draw?No won
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.