TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,307
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,621

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,307 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked No55c17,689$9,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,959.992934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes45c6,998$3,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.145349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Yes46c4,033$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes46c3,800$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7483363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes45c3,778$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7009246.7%43 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes46c3,681$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7003542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c3,134$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.761,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No58c2,407$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.361,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c2,233$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.135,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No54c1,891$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.492235.1%324 W · 598 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c1,163$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.972,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa4…3409backed Yes44c1,109$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4886636.4%24 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes54c1,108$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.9424247.9%116 W · 126 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes33c1,026$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf955…bb33backed Yes33c1,005$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9322…01e3backed Yes33c1,005$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48020138.3%77 W · 124 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3684…9669backed Yes33c975$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2eb…5751backed No67c975$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.75475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick47cpaid+42.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes46c890.3$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.353458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…9184backed No67c885$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6578…ba32backed No67c854$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed Yes50c835.81$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.411330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf666…8842backed Yes33c734$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7289…4bffbacked No67c703$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aec…fdafbacked No67c685$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011241.1%46 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaef9…0acbbacked No67c643$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked No57c640$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.22544%11 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes49c599.28$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.8749044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No48c598.2$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.9639058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No47c532.39$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6234558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No52c531.99$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.671,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No52c521.47$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.2993446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No52c472.96$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.021,10946.2%512 W · 597 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No53c461.21$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.521,76050.3%885 W · 875 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes53c334.32$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.191,30656.9%743 W · 563 L+67.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes44c306.18$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.726747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No50c272.46$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7322656.6%128 W · 98 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Yes47c202.02$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.34728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2617440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Yes45c197.3$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.639860.2%59 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes27c191.56$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.155641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1508…5760backed Yes45c177.76$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes22c170.51$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2429425.2%74 W · 220 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204429.5%13 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes48c158.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3273850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc8…f392backed No58c151.44$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No61c150$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2521941.6%91 W · 128 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes40c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2519158.6%112 W · 79 L+19.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes63c135.15$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5784347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e0…4983backed Yes44c125$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No54c116.44$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5610245.1%46 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes44c114.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032560.3%196 W · 129 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed No43c104.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.65560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.518647.3%88 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206323.8%15 W · 48 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.843721.6%8 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-64.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303850%19 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes22c93.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6946422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No54c90.37$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.421,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes70c75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.527251.1%139 W · 133 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked No54c74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0415549%76 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Yes18c72.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.125742%108 W · 149 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes44c70.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316238.7%24 W · 38 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No57c67.83$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1713746.7%64 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No48c67.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.199926.3%26 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked No57c67.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.632365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+7.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No54c65.76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.23571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+34.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes26c65.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.211023.6%26 W · 84 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.82445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes63c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.814149.6%70 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a3…c376backed Yes35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed No56c58.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.861656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No56c57.29$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.495066%33 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No66c55.61$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9140156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes50c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.611347.8%54 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0c0…2489backed No59c44.65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.161040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes48c43.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.91711.8%2 W · 15 L-5.7wins-0.33per pick45cpaid-82.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.16663.6%42 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No69c42.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.11,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203429.4%10 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No53c41.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.619554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca07…6269backed Yes41c41.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c38…a15abacked No62c39.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.85944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No54c37.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5853148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed No58c37.55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.774261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No53c37.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4624162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes56c37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7276255.9%426 W · 336 L+38.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes56c35.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7737562.7%235 W · 140 L+61.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+36.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes44c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.48063.8%51 W · 29 L+9.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed No71c31.42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.112588%22 W · 3 L+7.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+61.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes45c31.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.216746.1%77 W · 90 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8048…a602backed No78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick77cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes46c28.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0147155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d2b…d9a5backed Yes38c27.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.