Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-04-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3464980a83c654bf887cba11635d93a14286cb5b282fe75a97ecea51123af512
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 5,852$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.19 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 29c | 3,497$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.11 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 3,221$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.02 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 3,191$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.71 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 78c | 2,745$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.83 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 30c | 1,808$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 1,375$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.06 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 75c | 1,122$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.06 | 284 | 64.8%184 W · 100 L | +29.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 1,084$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,053$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 74c | 989.19$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.43 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 14c | 744.79$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.27 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 23c | 632.54$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.15 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 573.7$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.98 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 72c | 554.11$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.5 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 16c | 310$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 72c | 277.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 28c | 250.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…165cbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 205 | 20%41 W · 164 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 203.15$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…94ecbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes | 25c | 196.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc8…f392backed Yes | 31c | 151$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 108.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 13c | 91.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Yes | 29c | 84.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked No | 75c | 79.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 22c | 74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf4…4fe5backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 72c | 55.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 74c | 54.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 75c | 54.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 28c | 49.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 26c | 49.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 73c | 48.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce4…875bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed No | 73c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…25e1backed Yes | 31c | 32.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 30.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 72c | 29.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed No | 72c | 27.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…4ea2backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 78c | 27.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 78c | 25.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 71c | 25.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 22.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed No | 72c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked No | 79c | 20.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed No | 73c | 20.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 72c | 19.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 77c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed No | 72c | 18.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked No | 74c | 18.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 74c | 18.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7954…48dcbacked No | 74c | 16.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…a15abacked No | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked No | 72c | 15.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 70c | 14.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-04-17?this page
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.