Will Starmer say "Wireless" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbf4682b9c25be1c8bb7b9dcea94507bb384de5c8e1032ada72e3ed6afc64924

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,859
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,859 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x97d1…b2efbacked Yes	26c	1,962$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.12	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+2.8wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+88.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c86…b75ebacked No	74c	984$728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.84	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.21per pick	43cpaid	+108.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4744…e229backed No	74c	978$724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.28	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e8…ac57backed Yes	12c	687$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.44	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1832…af9ebacked No	65c	647$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.45	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+89.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf955…bb33backed Yes	12c	558$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.96	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+55.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7786…7914backed Yes	16c	528$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf58d…a617backed Yes	16c	517$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.72	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	39cpaid	+73.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6b8…0137backed Yes	35c	218$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.3	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6007…9553backed Yes	35c	218$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.3	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.27per pick	61cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc04c…44ffbacked Yes	35c	211$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.85	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-3.3wins	-0.36per pick	47cpaid	-84.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb9c1…0791backed No	70c	119.38$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.48	103	54.4%56 W · 47 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fc3…12afbacked Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	38c	27.72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.57	990	17.2%170 W · 820 L	-148.8wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x0185…357fbacked Yes	67c	22.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b2…3caabacked No	78c	15.76$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.46	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Starmer say "Wireless" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event