World Politics · resolved market
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x205f0e3fffb1a0fd86dfc3a18d9cb2705487139ec85cd8ba91d03afba4110549
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ec3…3adcbacked Yes | 77c | 2,244$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed No | 23c | 2,094$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe456…c39ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,480$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +157.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 77c | 1,464$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.99 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 30c | 949.82$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.46 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes | 62c | 798$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.53 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…6b75backed Yes | 51c | 779$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…1dcfbacked No | 23c | 703$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 52c | 679.2$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.73 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…b4e1backed Yes | 77c | 644$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked No | 26c | 504$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…35e8backed Yes | 74c | 504$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…868abacked Yes | 47c | 463.19$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed Yes | 65c | 419.96$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.13 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 3c | 394.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4617…0c10backed Yes | 27c | 307.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…950dbacked Yes | 41c | 291.19$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 35c | 284.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.46 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…e937backed Yes | 76c | 281.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.7 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x286f…82a5backed Yes | 75c | 257.26$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc88…ceb3backed Yes | 41c | 243.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 44c | 237.77$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.39 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a0…5c7abacked Yes | 39c | 210.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 38c | 207.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.85 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 77c | 204$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.08 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…6c22backed No | 23c | 204$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 37c | 194.79$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.7 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…4646backed Yes | 42c | 190.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 73c | 179.3$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 50c | 179.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 56c | 178.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.09 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked Yes | 59c | 159.73$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…514cbacked Yes | 57c | 145.92$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 38c | 136.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…c63dbacked Yes | 42c | 119.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 34c | 114.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…d941backed Yes | 46c | 107.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb66…a175backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 96.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 30c | 91.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed No | 23c | 91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 24c | 90.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 13c | 78.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb914…71f0backed Yes | 80c | 61.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +81%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 35c | 59.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 23c | 59.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94be…2151backed Yes | 37c | 54.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…9343backed Yes | 43c | 53.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…82aabacked Yes | 53c | 46.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 70c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…089abacked Yes | 71c | 42.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 41c | 41.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf9…20e2backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5b…097fbacked Yes | 65c | 25.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…465dbacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 65c | 19.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 73c | 19.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…aed2backed Yes | 65c | 17.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9042…0c0ebacked Yes | 63c | 16.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?this page
- Will Resni.ca (Res) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Democrats (D) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will the Slovenian National Party (SNS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.