Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14f1974b96f0bdb9e5a906a9fd372896fab3de2c2ba85f11c71e774cb22ff165
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb245…5ed6backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1119…6a81backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa629…fe39backed Yes | 23c | 3,615$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.35 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed No | 76c | 3,066$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.14 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…d5bfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,944$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 14c | 1,932$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.64 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 39c | 1,662$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,110$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 2c | 1,054$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9ddfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,012$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked Yes | 9c | 985.16$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6a…db19backed Yes | 32c | 971.86$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.04 | 147 | 19.7%29 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…3e9cbacked Yes | 41c | 869.4$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.39 | 833 | 32.1%267 W · 566 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…9b03backed Yes | 6c | 858.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…72cbbacked No | 62c | 599.99$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…a28ebacked Yes | 3c | 532.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Yes | 5c | 488.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…9f98backed No | 54c | 453.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Yes | 59c | 409.55$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 6c | 387.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…7056backed Yes | 35c | 370.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.21 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…3ad7backed Yes | 10c | 365.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed Yes | 4c | 349.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes | 38c | 347.25$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 77c | 343.98$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 10c | 318.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 41c | 277.2$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 9c | 248.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed Yes | 6c | 246.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…bebabacked Yes | 34c | 223.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 6c | 220$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 6c | 209.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41cd…a24abacked No | 60c | 202.4$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81b…b3c7backed Yes | 30c | 202.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…5954backed Yes | 5c | 201.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 75c | 199.77$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff51…6918backed Yes | 45c | 198.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c82…85afbacked Yes | 46c | 198.38$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 16c | 188.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 55c | 184.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.39 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 69c | 175.31$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…d304backed Yes | 31c | 161.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…cdc0backed Yes | 10c | 146.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 36c | 145.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…a9b9backed Yes | 62c | 143.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.74 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…b498backed Yes | 15c | 139.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6839…a6d2backed Yes | 30c | 134.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 15c | 120.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…a738backed Yes | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 22c | 118.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed Yes | 40c | 110.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96b…61afbacked Yes | 28c | 107.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes | 46c | 104.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd791…c3bbbacked Yes | 38c | 102.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…1358backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0031…485abacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…e069backed No | 62c | 96.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4f…d890backed No | 52c | 95.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 15c | 92.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…1f7abacked Yes | 22c | 92.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +17.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e11…2721backed Yes | 34c | 92.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…84fbbacked Yes | 63c | 79.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c11…1992backed Yes | 36c | 79.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf45…3543backed Yes | 40c | 73.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…8463backed Yes | 24c | 72.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…1948backed No | 73c | 69.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b19…6b1cbacked Yes | 48c | 69.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…78b1backed Yes | 48c | 68.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 164 | 65.2%107 W · 57 L | +18.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…932dbacked Yes | 45c | 65.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21d…76d2backed Yes | 49c | 61.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5490…c716backed Yes | 39c | 58.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…2635backed No | 45c | 50.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…623dbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…6a3ebacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b5…6d52backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…ade1backed No | 65c | 49.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 283 | 29.3%83 W · 200 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…e1d0backed Yes | 59c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…794cbacked No | 42c | 47.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a9…faebbacked Yes | 61c | 42.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d39fbacked Yes | 47c | 42.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe211…c34fbacked Yes | 53c | 41.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 73c | 41.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…271bbacked Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked No | 74c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f7…7df6backed Yes | 37c | 37.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d2…addebacked Yes | 49c | 36.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…4cc6backed Yes | 49c | 35.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6e…8fe0backed No | 77c | 34.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…9b6fbacked No | 74c | 34.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…20d4backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…f0fabacked Yes | 70c | 28.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b36…c0e7backed Yes | 58c | 27.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb9…533fbacked Yes | 50c | 26.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…39d9backed No | 74c | 26.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on January 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.