TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Nigma Galaxy, Tundra Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,855

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,936 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8479…40dfbacked Nigma Galaxy28c10,104$2,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85610751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Tundra Esports69c8,736$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,735.841,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports68c6,797$4,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.0869644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports68c6,706$4,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.682,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports73c6,378$4,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.2934468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Nigma Galaxy30c6,117$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.4996557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Nigma Galaxy31c4,999$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.2128159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed Nigma Galaxy35c4,450$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.494854.2%26 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Tundra Esports71c4,251$3,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.2141056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad09…612cbacked Nigma Galaxy32c4,026$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.642842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tundra Esports71c3,731$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.0796645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3936…366dbacked Tundra Esports70c3,637$2,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.133250%16 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Nigma Galaxy21c3,574$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.4481029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Nigma Galaxy20c3,337$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.371855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Nigma Galaxy33c2,980$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.2736547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Nigma Galaxy25c2,927$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.691,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Tundra Esports70c2,793$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.929042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Tundra Esports74c2,606$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.4768649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports73c2,549$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.6689749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Nigma Galaxy25c2,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62514515.2%22 W · 123 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Nigma Galaxy26c2,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.9943738.4%168 W · 269 L-1.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d2…1945backed Nigma Galaxy1c2,043$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+38.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Nigma Galaxy36c2,012$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.2616242.6%69 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Nigma Galaxy14c1,886$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.2248539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50061745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Tundra Esports71c1,771$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.2389741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked Nigma Galaxy18c1,672$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3112630.2%38 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports79c1,644$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.471,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb654…7be3backed Tundra Esports80c1,610$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.661060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Nigma Galaxy24c1,542$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.7522543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c05…416cbacked Nigma Galaxy32c1,517$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.922030%6 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0650…865cbacked Tundra Esports80c1,496$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.15944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick64cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Tundra Esports80c1,447$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.454634.8%16 W · 30 L-8.2wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Nigma Galaxy22c1,411$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.3858943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy31c1,394$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.1299844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Nigma Galaxy30c1,372$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41872035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nigma Galaxy13c1,350$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.6237832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Nigma Galaxy19c1,332$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.1233541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Nigma Galaxy1c1,325$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2569835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Nigma Galaxy22c1,322$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.837223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports72c1,294$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.961,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89bd…cc95backed Nigma Galaxy28c1,250$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.543844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Tundra Esports79c1,224$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.7716256.8%92 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2b7…500fbacked Nigma Galaxy20c1,218$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.532737%10 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0e…2330backed Nigma Galaxy18c1,200$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2165639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Nigma Galaxy30c1,200$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36016541.2%68 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Nigma Galaxy18c1,132$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.762722.2%6 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nigma Galaxy22c1,061$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.8119242.7%82 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed Nigma Galaxy8c1,038$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.65277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Tundra Esports80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.047255.6%40 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Nigma Galaxy17c1,000$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1577458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Tundra Esports70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30031547.6%150 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8756…3c83backed Nigma Galaxy29c999.98$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.993545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Nigma Galaxy21c999.71$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9410546.7%49 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f8…0457backed Nigma Galaxy31c965.72$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.172642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy26c924.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24596245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Nigma Galaxy30c900$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27036343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Tundra Esports80c895.84$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.9117146.2%79 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports70c842.4$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.7260552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Nigma Galaxy28c840.23$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.926550.6%134 W · 131 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8be…3d54backed Nigma Galaxy27c800$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2149951.5%51 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Tundra Esports71c766.52$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.4947650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Nigma Galaxy20c752.07$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3771342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Nigma Galaxy19c751.36$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0912536%45 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Tundra Esports78c721.62$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.764843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Nigma Galaxy17c700$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11946240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Nigma Galaxy28c699.98$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.994247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Nigma Galaxy30c658.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Tundra Esports79c617.12$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.65556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Tundra Esports70c607.5$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2554753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c73…750abacked Nigma Galaxy31c593.87$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6916328.8%47 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tundra Esports76c534.83$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.82,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3724…c59abacked Nigma Galaxy30c530$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1593928.2%11 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe56b…2c03backed Nigma Galaxy19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.949341.9%39 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Nigma Galaxy20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010048%48 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Nigma Galaxy33c478.79$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15820452.5%107 W · 97 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Tundra Esports77c466.94$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7553139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nigma Galaxy14c457$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.161,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Nigma Galaxy23c456.35$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6410618.9%20 W · 86 L-14.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x455b…e3d7backed Tundra Esports71c448.15$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.961060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Tundra Esports75c429.2$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1920767.1%139 W · 68 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Nigma Galaxy19c418.42$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.829432.3%95 W · 199 L-19.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf01f…e8fbbacked Nigma Galaxy18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40a2…844fbacked Tundra Esports80c376.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.191442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy24c372.2$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.691,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Tundra Esports71c370.5$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4586659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Nigma Galaxy16c370$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.953634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbe…b6d8backed Nigma Galaxy30c369.33$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.83740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…fd05backed Nigma Galaxy18c355.56$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6411949.6%59 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Nigma Galaxy35c342.86$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12042145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2fe…695dbacked Nigma Galaxy30c336.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017349.1%85 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Nigma Galaxy21c333.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7057735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Nigma Galaxy20c327$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.45848.3%28 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Tundra Esports76c300.7$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.061,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nigma Galaxy20c299.38$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3457654.5%314 W · 262 L+29.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Tundra Esports71c299.1$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.211,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports80c281.2$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2479959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Tundra Esports72c278.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0748053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Tundra Esports73c275$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7548054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Nigma Galaxy24c269.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6428050%140 W · 140 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.