Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7733b346a00119eee5aedadfed2adfe090c22a31d3c7f0e3ca139adfdf08410
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0b2…b200backed Yes | 0c | 94,540$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 37c | 1,316$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.56 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 66c | 570.06$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.21 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 65c | 534.47$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.09 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked No | 72c | 452.16$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.98 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 19c | 434.57$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 66c | 338.31$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.17 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 58c | 326.12$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.23 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 38c | 315.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.76 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 34c | 312.12$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 51c | 290.47$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.78 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked Yes | 34c | 279.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 63c | 264.97$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.73 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 51c | 264.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.71 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 20c | 258$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 60c | 238.88$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 26c | 237.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 56c | 226.26$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.74 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 5c | 225$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 60c | 218.81$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 51c | 215.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.76 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 17c | 211.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 44c | 211.29$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 45c | 209.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 31c | 204.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 38c | 199.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 199.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7603…2276backed No | 67c | 183.55$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 146 | 74.7%109 W · 37 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 38c | 170.91$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.34 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb286…aac7backed Yes | 48c | 160.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed Yes | 38c | 155.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…b67bbacked Yes | 34c | 148.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 62c | 139.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…a351backed Yes | 45c | 132.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 29c | 128.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 39c | 126.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 29c | 126.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 66c | 122.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 120.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 34c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…9578backed Yes | 60c | 113.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 55c | 113.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 13c | 112.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Yes | 66c | 109.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 32c | 109.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed Yes | 36c | 108$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…e6e3backed No | 49c | 106.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…db5fbacked Yes | 33c | 105.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 49c | 102.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe399…b921backed No | 56c | 97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 42c | 94.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 55c | 94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…ab7dbacked Yes | 67c | 93.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2ad4backed Yes | 67c | 92.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 122 | 28.7%35 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 89.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f30…1f71backed Yes | 56c | 89.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked No | 70c | 89.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 66c | 88.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 86.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…985abacked Yes | 30c | 84.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 65c | 82.05$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 62c | 81.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…3d06backed Yes | 45c | 79.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf695…c30abacked Yes | 49c | 79.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…ff90backed Yes | 34c | 77.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 240 | 53.3%128 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 20c | 76.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 34c | 74.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 34c | 70.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3225…d1cfbacked Yes | 34c | 69.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 51c | 67.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 43c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…605cbacked No | 73c | 63.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 35c | 60.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 39c | 59.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…5cbcbacked Yes | 56c | 58.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 32c | 58.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda9…fee5backed Yes | 50c | 57.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 51c | 55.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff7…82c5backed Yes | 33c | 55.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Yes | 33c | 54.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 38c | 54.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…689abacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae72…fa54backed Yes | 38c | 52.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +151.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…e1c7backed No | 64c | 50.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd231…8c11backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…9da2backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…152ebacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…fb21backed Yes | 32c | 49.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…d53dbacked No | 64c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 64c | 46.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6313…1db9backed Yes | 33c | 44.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 47c | 44.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed No | 64c | 43.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on May 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.