CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bce1110c6827c7734f124a0a2d80beba52d871bec1da6dd69799c19454d56e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof ALKA, MIBR Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked MIBR Academy | 57c | 4,016$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.44 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked MIBR Academy | 19c | 1,820$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.12 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MIBR Academy | 55c | 1,594$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.82 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed ALKA | 43c | 1,568$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.18 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ALKA | 43c | 1,350$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.5 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked ALKA | 45c | 1,196$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.37 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed MIBR Academy | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALKA | 74c | 917.06$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.64 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ALKA | 77c | 826.83$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.96 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ALKA | 73c | 576.18$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.06 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked MIBR Academy | 55c | 566$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed ALKA | 46c | 501.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.09 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked ALKA | 45c | 471.79$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.76 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ALKA | 76c | 443.69$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.82 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed MIBR Academy | 25c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MIBR Academy | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.53 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MIBR Academy | 19c | 343.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed ALKA | 47c | 285.11$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.11 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed MIBR Academy | 21c | 279.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed MIBR Academy | 24c | 255.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5002…a28fbacked ALKA | 52c | 255.25$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.32 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed ALKA | 70c | 234.33$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked ALKA | 75c | 205.84$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked MIBR Academy | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MIBR Academy | 57c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked ALKA | 45c | 188.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a64cbacked ALKA | 45c | 185$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed MIBR Academy | 21c | 183.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR Academy | 28c | 179.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MIBR Academy | 24c | 158.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed ALKA | 45c | 131.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed ALKA | 46c | 130.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ALKA | 65c | 120.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…f15bbacked ALKA | 59c | 118.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ALKA | 43c | 115.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed ALKA | 45c | 112.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed MIBR Academy | 55c | 112$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked ALKA | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked ALKA | 46c | 101.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed MIBR Academy | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MIBR Academy | 54c | 93.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ALKA | 78c | 92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…7301backed MIBR Academy | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40c…baddbacked MIBR Academy | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed MIBR Academy | 55c | 86.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ALKA | 56c | 82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed ALKA | 45c | 81.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked ALKA | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed ALKA | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked MIBR Academy | 54c | 64.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked MIBR Academy | 55c | 61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MIBR Academy | 20c | 54.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ALKA | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed ALKA | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed MIBR Academy | 24c | 49.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…bf27backed MIBR Academy | 55c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed MIBR Academy | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed MIBR Academy | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MIBR Academy | 55c | 34.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5728…b961backed ALKA | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed MIBR Academy | 55c | 33.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed ALKA | 67c | 29.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed MIBR Academy | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed MIBR Academy | 53c | 23.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked MIBR Academy | 56c | 22.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…2ebdbacked ALKA | 46c | 21.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed MIBR Academy | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…ad06backed MIBR Academy | 55c | 19.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…7ac1backed MIBR Academy | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8e…ea9dbacked ALKA | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 WinnerALKA won
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MIBR Academy - Map 2 WinnerALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.