Other European Leagues · resolved market
Motherwell FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc086fcbc98cf51ba9c516fe31c459fba918ee4512f6c2d4e1bc9af8ebd712e57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $342,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $343,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 322,935$171,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,096.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 200,000$94,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 47c | 83,781$39,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,403.9 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 17,771$8,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,418.61 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 11,362$5,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,913.99 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 5,091$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.61 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 51c | 3,676$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d3…a1f8backed Under | 49c | 3,446$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 36c | 1,250$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.69 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 48c | 1,137$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.71 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 849.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 50c | 834.56$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.87 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 48c | 799.95$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 50c | 500.42$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 372$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.16 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 191.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.51 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 47c | 153.55$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Over | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 19c | 123.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 47c | 100.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 53c | 93.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 48c | 86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…c91fbacked Under | 50c | 83.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 51c | 80.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 48c | 80.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…12debacked Under | 49c | 79.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed3…655abacked Over | 53c | 72.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…fb6cbacked Over | 52c | 63.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 53c | 60.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 42c | 60.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…3ab9backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 48c | 48.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 39.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 47c | 37.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Under | 48c | 35.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Under | 49c | 30.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Under | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e6…2befbacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…597cbacked Over | 50c | 26.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5418…0207backed Over | 50c | 24.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…acd5backed Under | 52c | 19.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Motherwell FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Motherwell FC vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Motherwell FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Motherwell FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)Motherwell FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.