Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce6274a194829db5aba07390c82738569ae0de19a3462a11c7ea25f7f8fdf55c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,727 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.99 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 4,111$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.79 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 2,742$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.16 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 1,313$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.69 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 16c | 1,240$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.77 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 12c | 1,114$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 61c | 729.01$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.7 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…8793backed Yes | 17c | 505$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 30c | 250$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.1 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 36c | 249.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.48 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2044backed Yes | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 182.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 61c | 165$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 41c | 121.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.31 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…0923backed No | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb80a…1a43backed Yes | 21c | 119.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 62c | 111.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 271 | 51.7%140 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 29c | 103$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 410 | 21.7%89 W · 321 L | -54.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 39c | 99.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x025c…b18abacked Yes | 16c | 81.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Yes | 40c | 60.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849d…2e75backed Yes | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…921dbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 26c | 42.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Yes | 41c | 41.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d96…f5b7backed No | 80c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 30.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 39c | 28.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 27.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 61c | 21.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 64c | 20.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 65c | 19.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-10?this page
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-03-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.