Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffa92538ced54d98ab49bb5b758e9b38c64bc5b031923ee7bac1517990dcda39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,649 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 3,941$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.12 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 2,213$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.79 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…f6cebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 887.55$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.54 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 249.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 77c | 246.02$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 63c | 233.44$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.07 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 26c | 101.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…e7afbacked No | 75c | 86.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf55…adefbacked Yes | 57c | 79.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed Yes | 62c | 72.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.32per pick | 53cpaid | -70%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 44c | 68.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes | 27c | 54.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 48c | 52.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 48c | 52.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…0e9ebacked No | 48c | 51.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 72c | 50.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c95…9078backed Yes | 28c | 50.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 45.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 35c | 42.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 34.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 32.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 30.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 56c | 25.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 51c | 23.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 59c | 21.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 14.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-10?Yes won
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-03-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.