Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-03-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3bbbfa85a8bb7655e4c936650c38e44f8db6cd7d34c1628f0190f52de5004a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,185 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 58c | 5,773$3,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348.53 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 42c | 4,552$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.11 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 35c | 4,286$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 4,054$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.83 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 2,239$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.96 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 1,019$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.06 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 36c | 972.49$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.09 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 44c | 532.51$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.05 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 44c | 336.43$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.4 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 59c | 317.57$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.38 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 38c | 305$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 65c | 275.12$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.29 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 39c | 259.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 37c | 249.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 74c | 209.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed No | 65c | 198.48$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 17c | 194.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 57c | 191.89$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 63c | 145.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed No | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 120.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 114.14$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 66c | 90.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83f2…313bbacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 43c | 75.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed Yes | 59c | 73.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.32per pick | 53cpaid | -70%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 37c | 68.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5abf…e6c7backed Yes | 38c | 57.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 37c | 56.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked No | 55c | 49.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 37c | 48.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 68c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 35c | 38.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…7794backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 65c | 30.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 30.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked No | 67c | 29.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 27.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 27.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 65c | 26.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 59c | 22.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 61c | 20.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 62c | 18.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 62c | 16.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-03-10?this page
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.