Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6f35302981112104cd3107a6098c1007882cbe6b432c91ed22323903240cd9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,442 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 9c | 1,007$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.36 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 587.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.61 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 473.27$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.82 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 406.94$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.94 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 41c | 404.75$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.84 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 268.4$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.16 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 235.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 43c | 235.54$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.26 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 23c | 221$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.17 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed No | 7c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 22c | 162.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 54c | 114.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 23c | 114$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 12c | 112.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 23c | 107$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.39 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.66 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 76c | 78.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…26f2backed No | 79c | 72.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes | 23c | 66.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…1afcbacked Yes | 23c | 64.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +341.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 271 | 51.7%140 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 35c | 44.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 43.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 36c | 34.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 78c | 34.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 68c | 25.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked No | 64c | 25.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 41c | 24.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed No | 55c | 18.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…a68bbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-10?No won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-03-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.