Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc074b9a9ddeb0c0d90d3dd29770dadc11d005e2681c5db77c8268f523d359ea5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 15c | 753.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.85 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 77c | 742.81$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.03 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 58c | 480$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.35 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 13c | 390.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…82f5backed No | 31c | 358.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.03 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 7c | 354.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 12c | 336$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 720 | 42.2%304 W · 416 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 70c | 290.64$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.93 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…3266backed Yes | 69c | 289.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 70c | 265.43$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 43c | 238.71$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.73 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 69c | 215.07$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 141 | 13.5%19 W · 122 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 9c | 193.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 15c | 190.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 60c | 190.47$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 403 | 37.2%150 W · 253 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 8c | 160$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked Yes | 11c | 154.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 17c | 150.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 13c | 149.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd391…093fbacked Yes | 8c | 137.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 134.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 68c | 125.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.61 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0d…98d2backed Yes | 27c | 121.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 71c | 119.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x501c…4d6dbacked Yes | 15c | 115$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +11.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked Yes | 12c | 112.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 264 | 42.4%112 W · 152 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 40c | 111.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 68c | 110.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 348 | 31%108 W · 240 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ca…498fbacked Yes | 19c | 99.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 38c | 98.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 43c | 98.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 11c | 98.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 45c | 94.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…32c8backed Yes | 15c | 86.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 55c | 82.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…7b85backed Yes | 16c | 81.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…3024backed Yes | 36c | 80.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 241 | 39.8%96 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 51c | 79.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…9fb8backed Yes | 64c | 73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 19c | 72.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 79c | 71.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…9f83backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 76.2%64 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…6278backed Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Yes | 33c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 67c | 63.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…6fd1backed Yes | 73c | 62.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 25c | 62.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 50c | 60.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 60.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 22c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 56.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 32c | 55.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 28c | 51.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Yes | 58c | 49.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 65c | 47.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ee…edcbbacked Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed Yes | 32c | 44.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked No | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4e…dba5backed Yes | 79c | 38.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +142.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…63ccbacked No | 61c | 37.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc824…5e0bbacked Yes | 52c | 36.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 67c | 36.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1659…42f8backed Yes | 69c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c72…825ebacked Yes | 70c | 35.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…4a1ebacked No | 67c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 66c | 31.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked No | 69c | 30.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6199backed No | 72c | 30.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 622 | 75.2%468 W · 154 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 78c | 30.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd81…c215backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948f…0b98backed Yes | 62c | 29.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 119 | 83.2%99 W · 20 L | +21.5wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…8bfebacked Yes | 71c | 29.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ea…7838backed Yes | 59c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9877…61b5backed Yes | 67c | 27.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 54c | 25.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…34e7backed No | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 185 | 67.6%125 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6266…623abacked Yes | 67c | 22.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 68c | 22.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…2c0cbacked Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 69c | 21.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…a510backed No | 75c | 20.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 50c | 20.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b02…abdfbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa008…a38abacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 63c | 19.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…9913backed Yes | 71c | 18.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab5c…c6f3backed No | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 73c | 14.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.