Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8c320ab87978b74320d5b0e635ecdcce76a8e2ac291279520eb02071f7e72c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a9c…079dbacked Yes | 1c | 29,274$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,976.03 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa895…faacbacked Yes | 7c | 4,031$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,765.97 | 203 | 38.4%78 W · 125 L | +30.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +177%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…b0c7backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.99 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +193.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…c5cebacked No | 79c | 2,661$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.48 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 6c | 2,426$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.25 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 4c | 1,084$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.72 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 11c | 980.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.57 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed No | 60c | 924.16$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.42 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…82f5backed Yes | 24c | 878.28$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.22 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 59c | 815.48$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.01 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d0…cc0abacked Yes | 13c | 804.12$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 40c | 735.55$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.08 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 2c | 700.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 188 | 4.8%9 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 29c | 679.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 18c | 665.9$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.4 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…df8dbacked Yes | 50c | 623.05$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…a061backed No | 76c | 600$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Yes | 13c | 534.47$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.5 | 88 | 30.7%27 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 21c | 502.16$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.34 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 59c | 465.05$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.42 | 382 | 43.2%165 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 51c | 427.78$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.75 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x544d…1ecabacked Yes | 6c | 395.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,480.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed Yes | 38c | 370.88$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.64 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 53c | 370.44$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 41c | 364.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.1 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0d…98d2backed No | 79c | 360.25$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked No | 77c | 351.01$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.64 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 40c | 348.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.62 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 21c | 344.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.48 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 46c | 336.25$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.55 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…66b0backed Yes | 14c | 331.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.21 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17ea…7838backed Yes | 21c | 328.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.71 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 22c | 324.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 35c | 308.96$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 30c | 296.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed Yes | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 267 | 44.2%118 W · 149 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…e538backed No | 35c | 226.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc1…ee2fbacked Yes | 9c | 225.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.1 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +12.2wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 70c | 221.29$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.78 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 25c | 219.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.58 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 60c | 219.29$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.23 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 5c | 215.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.81 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed Yes | 48c | 205.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.87 | 644 | 60.6%390 W · 254 L | +92.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 141 | 13.5%19 W · 122 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 75c | 199.85$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7183backed Yes | 60c | 192.39$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…6fd1backed Yes | 44c | 189.29$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 51c | 188.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 25c | 179.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.18 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 29c | 178.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 56c | 165.93$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.18 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 164.51$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6243…e014backed Yes | 8c | 146.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.55 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…4347backed No | 69c | 144.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -64%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa769…843ebacked Yes | 48c | 142.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 41c | 138.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 28c | 137.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 22c | 131.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…8786backed Yes | 31c | 131.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 44c | 130$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcb…e3c5backed No | 77c | 129.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 37c | 128.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 72c | 125.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef1…21b8backed Yes | 48c | 124.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 435 | 40.5%176 W · 259 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 78c | 119.69$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d31…13c3backed No | 11c | 118.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93cc…454ebacked Yes | 22c | 117.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 255 | 41.2%105 W · 150 L | +22.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x501c…4d6dbacked Yes | 46c | 115.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +11.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…e17fbacked Yes | 22c | 115.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 52c | 115.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes | 32c | 113.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.41 | 472 | 39.8%188 W · 284 L | +31.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…1517backed Yes | 63c | 112.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 73c | 109.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd37…9135backed Yes | 10c | 104.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 179 | 40.8%73 W · 106 L | +29.0wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked No | 65c | 102.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…c8ffbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 324 | 40.1%130 W · 194 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…7a75backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 271 | 29.2%79 W · 192 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 348 | 31%108 W · 240 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed No | 70c | 93.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked Yes | 56c | 87.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed No | 48c | 86.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 79c | 85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…e1e0backed No | 80c | 83.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…4da6backed Yes | 46c | 83.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 211 | 32.2%68 W · 143 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 71c | 82.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 56c | 82.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 46c | 82.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 55c | 81.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 38c | 81.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…32c8backed Yes | 43c | 80.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked No | 26c | 79.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 264 | 42.4%112 W · 152 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…6eb1backed Yes | 29c | 79.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 63c | 77.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed Yes | 50c | 75.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 66c | 75.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked Yes | 30c | 74.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.