Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ca4fea39bafa82f37a094fde96b9494cf094ca61ff165ee0cf9a11010c5c174
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbee8…15bebacked Yes | 66c | 1,347$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.82 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 74c | 870.65$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.79 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…c773backed Yes | 29c | 634.33$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.19 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 66c | 589.54$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 578.57$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.96 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 75c | 569.65$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.15 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 50c | 490.83$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.21 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 66c | 445.44$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.14 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 32c | 443.4$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.64 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 32c | 380.76$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.76 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 13c | 339.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 25c | 337.57$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.78 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…1bb0backed No | 11c | 320.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 30c | 297.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.67 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 76c | 265.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.23 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 21c | 263.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 72c | 254$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.79 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 12c | 250.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…3848backed Yes | 23c | 227.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.19 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 34c | 211.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.91 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…e1b7backed Yes | 18c | 204.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 29c | 200.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 22c | 200$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.58 | 439 | 32.8%144 W · 295 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 195.47$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.24 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked Yes | 48c | 193$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 56c | 189.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…6e40backed Yes | 31c | 186.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.74 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 72c | 182$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.81 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…465dbacked Yes | 28c | 171.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.76 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 9c | 166.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…bc39backed Yes | 25c | 162.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked No | 9c | 145.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 19c | 136$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 18c | 135.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.95 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 43c | 134.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed No | 70c | 130.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 79c | 120$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 73c | 119.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 73c | 106$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 30c | 97.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 429 | 48%206 W · 223 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked Yes | 29c | 97.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed No | 71c | 97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 371 | 50.4%187 W · 184 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 70c | 96.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…99ddbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 77c | 93.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 31c | 92.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 69c | 84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…ba1bbacked No | 70c | 83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 190 | 71.6%136 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…af33backed Yes | 30c | 79.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…c41dbacked Yes | 34c | 77.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 30c | 74.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 807 | 35.4%286 W · 521 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 61c | 74.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 14c | 74.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed No | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…01fabacked No | 32c | 68.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae73…09fabacked No | 73c | 67.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 75cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 61c | 65.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 31c | 60.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 29c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked Yes | 18c | 59.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 23c | 57.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 70c | 53.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 67c | 50.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 75c | 50.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 548 | 67.3%369 W · 179 L | +26.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 66c | 49.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 281 | 63.7%179 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 33c | 47.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…395bbacked Yes | 32c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 336 | 28.9%97 W · 239 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 69c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 417 | 52%217 W · 200 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 25c | 42.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 30c | 41.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 73c | 39.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…5c3abacked Yes | 31c | 37.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed No | 68c | 36.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 315 | 64.8%204 W · 111 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 64c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 34.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 32c | 33.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 69c | 32.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…cd99backed Yes | 79c | 31.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ba…2f9abacked Yes | 33c | 30.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142a…a44abacked No | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…118dbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…7c69backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 77c | 27.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 76c | 27.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…48bdbacked Yes | 60c | 26.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e3…5897backed No | 66c | 26.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -20.8wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…005cbacked No | 76c | 24.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…5585backed No | 69c | 21.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on August 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.