TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,108

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,108 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No68c16,989$11,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,378.5971140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c8,571$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,697.661,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes24c1,873$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No70c1,599$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.8735650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c1,562$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.4338056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-49.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes26c1,029$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.542433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes32c885.74$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.7948649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd778…0ca4backed Yes32c869.66$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.2630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes15c765.39$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1131250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes30c699.55$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.581,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No68c690$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.826346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c677$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0224044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No69c630$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0620232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes32c585.26$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.668434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No76c505.74$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8413246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No74c458.77$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2827049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No68c425$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.981735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf4b…2d40backed Yes15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes33c394.12$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f46…fcb5backed Yes26c356.21$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes34c338$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9211725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fe2…e1eebacked Yes33c315.06$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes20c303.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604630.4%14 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes12c301.18$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes11c276.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.861520%3 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c276.01$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes42c238.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No74c206$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.324770.2%33 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+61.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6040…33a9backed No76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No74c175.36$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5933148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No78c170.33$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8226660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe2d…c6b9backed Yes24c158.73$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.18520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cdb…c40dbacked Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Yes21c136.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.12137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-84%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes33c136.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf69f…227ebacked No75c132.02$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c131.75$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1428448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No69c130$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.818155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes32c121.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9462648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2976…a6d2backed No75c118.4$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes24c115$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0516224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No68c111.22$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.064062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed Yes34c107.35$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…4dc6backed Yes33c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff7…946fbacked No75c105.79$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Yes36c105.56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-69.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes23c105.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.185238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3511…17c3backed Yes31c100.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104316.3%7 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee2a…729bbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes26c83.19$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6313844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes25c68.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0717817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes32c65.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.923161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No73c64$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.265261.5%32 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157231.9%23 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed No76c60.76$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.581275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes24c58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0515649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41d4…a401backed Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-61.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.518847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.520454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c87…7f4abacked Yes34c48.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.64862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked No68c48.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes33c46.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.47540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c2b…ec21backed Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes26c38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0126040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes32c37.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8717251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed No68c37.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.85862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No74c36.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.625747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf639…b945backed No75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0466…b3a5backed No68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3160…e846backed No68c29.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.245100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+101.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51df…3b7fbacked No74c24.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b6…988dbacked No78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.231181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick73cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1465…9f10backed No70c16.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.11181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No68c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.126755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.