TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Lorient win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,720

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,720 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes33c9,025$2,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,053.91,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c5,037$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.091,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes18c2,415$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.1415455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked No61c2,000$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.823655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No66c1,305$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.9871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes18c1,039$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.4387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes19c1,000$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Yes41c975.61$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.611275%9 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+123.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No77c954.2$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.911729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes59c916.72$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.1915071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcef3…6c6abacked Yes55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.091369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No45c788.82$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.8637638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes40c749.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.988041.3%33 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d9…a6e1backed Yes75c666.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes27c609.92$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.9462648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed No37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No12c499.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes23c494.87$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.455238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Yes67c473.66$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No38c422$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3615649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Yes30c403.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.85922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No47c383.48$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9548649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6070…88a8backed No44c368.18$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.381338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes65c367.03$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.331258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes19c300$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24314045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes19c300$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2432528%7 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes74c268.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.471586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick69cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed No60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked No41c248.51$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.89944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed No61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No61c242.62$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1489447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc952…1d90backed No48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No61c206$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.661735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed No48c200.14$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.461338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+78.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Yes18c194.44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.447231.9%23 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes38c184.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5711916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes20c177.37$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.114266.7%28 W · 14 L+10.6wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+70.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No60c165.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8326046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes25c156.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.628434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed No61c152.3$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.96446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes69c149.38$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.311450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes21c137$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.237138%27 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No33c130$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.53743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30d0…5b25backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41d4…a401backed Yes16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes18c123.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5328448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No45c121.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1418155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked No61c119.51$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked No17c118.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Yes17c115$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.55333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+97.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes19c105$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0514247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Yes39c100.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.892240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603070%21 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed Yes54c99.07$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.57650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No65c98.56$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.315951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No20c97.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7717817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Yes43c93.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.772166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes19c93.12$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6745233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb27e…29d4backed Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes19c91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0626845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes18c86.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5610838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42ce…d2cbbacked No61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes20c80.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.49450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52227.3%6 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No56c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394365.1%28 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes50c68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.264257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebf6…8644backed Yes23c66.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.21333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No64c60.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.622157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdad…f369backed Yes58c58.22$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes18c56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9222927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked No79c55.14$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.691457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed No60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a7d…facfbacked Yes21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes65c49.33$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1618360.7%111 W · 72 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes22c49.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3117251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6404…2a20backed No38c42.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No39c38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.821747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes69c36.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.469152.7%48 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x315d…b420backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked No61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203969.2%27 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No44c32.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.343354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No38c31.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.944062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Yes38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.75580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b96…cdb4backed Yes79c29.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x740b…997fbacked No72c27.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6058…1327backed Yes38c26.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.731145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Yes75c25.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.42475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+68.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked No51c24.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.663951.3%20 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes55c23.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.646342.9%27 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed No50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked No77c19.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.911770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes59c17.68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.251978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.