South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdd357904976eecb735dafdc4290a16944355e04fb579a734bc6b4a10cd399cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 4,765$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.63 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 68c | 3,254$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.03 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 3,216$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.53 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 51c | 1,854$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.58 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,414$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.16 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 69c | 293.01$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 271.2$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Under | 45c | 222.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 32c | 203.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 55c | 198.37$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…1310backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0988…f6f9backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6911backed Over | 50c | 85.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 52c | 81.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Under | 53c | 80.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 57c | 78.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 68c | 57.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 50c | 54.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…b939backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 50c | 43.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 41c | 41.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 45c | 39.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 50c | 39.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…3630backed Under | 50c | 35.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 66c | 32.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 67c | 32.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 25.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…185fbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e8…d7b7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Nacional de Football (-1.5)CD Tolima won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.