South American Leagues · resolved market
CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x651558b74ddbc0fe221cf645df43957547248e46e2c53378e70bfd5c9cf6d180
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 74c | 329.48$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.93 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 27c | 299.92$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.94 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 27c | 298.96$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.49 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 51c | 278$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.05 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 75c | 266.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Under | 23c | 255$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 219$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 190.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 78c | 179.49$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 75c | 154.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 135.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 75c | 107.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 25c | 93.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…cf50backed Under | 23c | 86.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 65.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…d0bfbacked Under | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 78c | 41.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 26c | 41.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 29c | 40.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Over | 59c | 30.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…2c66backed Over | 78c | 28.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 78c | 27.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Under | 47c | 26.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Under | 73c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Over | 64c | 21.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5this page
- CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CF América (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: CF América (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)CF América won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.