South American Leagues · resolved market
CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc9eecaadc4b09e2be924b0901d17756c140a877e431623a930f9de261311e4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 52c | 1,149$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 48c | 960.09$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.25 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 52c | 835.77$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.6 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 25c | 323.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 48c | 299.96$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 52c | 292.27$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 240.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.15 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under | 13c | 227$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 52c | 186$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Under | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 70c | 165$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 80c | 138.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 115$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 69c | 105$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf4…5daabacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 93.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Under | 15c | 69.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3323…f667backed Over | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 57.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 71c | 56.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Under | 53c | 45.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 41c | 42.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 48c | 40.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 53c | 37.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 52c | 33.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 70c | 32.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5this page
- CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5Over won
- CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CF América (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: CF América (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)CF América won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.