South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x784ea5d27315b43a4cd189696d250320df80bf67b4c894a35a1b16743d135f80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,756$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.74 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 65c | 1,522$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.89 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 36c | 1,439$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.72 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 34c | 1,227$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.64 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.86 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 1,030$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.99 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 35c | 857.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…4194backed Yes | 36c | 807.5$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 677.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.22 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 65c | 597.3$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.25 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 3c | 432.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 55c | 409.9$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.75 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 21c | 298.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.01 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 5c | 282$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 21c | 257.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 64c | 202.24$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.53 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 65c | 190.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 172.86$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.16 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 160.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 50c | 154.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 19c | 147.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 51c | 132$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…a11abacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…59a4backed Yes | 28c | 106.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 102.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 35c | 79.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 64c | 60.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 38c | 52.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 64c | 49.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 29c | 49.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3924…ee05backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 60c | 40.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 64c | 37.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 65c | 25.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e7…dfaabacked Yes | 45c | 24.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 65c | 24.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 73c | 20.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 19.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 64c | 19.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed No | 65c | 18.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked No | 66c | 15.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x422f…da1abacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.