South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e3347264ff2db4d458b1269e1b698bf84715bcfe5c8501f868ca707f52845e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Yes | 19c | 9,999$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.18 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 33c | 1,176$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.48 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 807.54$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.05 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 680.08$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.99 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 587.97$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.12 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 409$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.93 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 68c | 304.45$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked No | 73c | 260.03$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 68c | 183.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 20c | 124.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 32c | 123.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Yes | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 54cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 32c | 119.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Yes | 56c | 105.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 100.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 100.73$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Yes | 32c | 99.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 32c | 98.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7905…d0a4backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…613ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 32c | 41.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 68c | 35.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 32.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 37c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 31.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…d0efbacked No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 55c | 25.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e3…de5dbacked No | 78c | 21.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e0…b306backed No | 70c | 21.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…75a4backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed No | 69c | 19.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed No | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-05-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.