South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56b99e08aa98928f055e0e6f0490d58a7eb0c26d89c9db450bd099de789ce1d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 2,124$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.43 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 11c | 1,381$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.39 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 67c | 999.87$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.96 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 45c | 701.71$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.47 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 681.88$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.75 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 50c | 614.57$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 33c | 327.17$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.01 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 166.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 68c | 121.21$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 67c | 119.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 40c | 95.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 33c | 78.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 66c | 75.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed No | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed Yes | 30c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 61c | 57.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 57.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 55c | 52.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 67c | 49.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes | 55c | 40.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 32c | 39.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed Yes | 33c | 36.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…59a4backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 33c | 30.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 78c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 67c | 20.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 18.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Yes | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 54cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. Club Olimpia end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-05-06?No won
- Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-05-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.