South American Leagues · resolved market
Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60e936ca3c7996b41cd9879596148724ef631df67c2bba5bd46cb0792f3bd2f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 1,921$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.16 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 1,197$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.28 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Over | 18c | 1,100$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 79c | 471.59$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 21c | 447.59$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 26c | 298.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 20c | 227.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 20c | 155$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 48c | 64.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed Under | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 27c | 54.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafbf…e710backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Under | 78c | 48.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…c7f3backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 80c | 31.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e55…d369backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 79c | 20.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5this page
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Over won
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Audax CS Italiano won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)Audax CS Italiano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.