South American Leagues · resolved market
Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x941c76be3a5354cd0b93d9312421be4fe78b4ef9978d29bbbd70bfa4d6b04430
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 52c | 2,022$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.43 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 48c | 974.21$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.59 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 927.92$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.63 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 48c | 536.42$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.94 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 48c | 290.41$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.94 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 50c | 289.12$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.56 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 267.37$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 51c | 161.31$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 66c | 149$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 48c | 145.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 48c | 85.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5323backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Over won
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5Under won
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Audax CS Italiano won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)Audax CS Italiano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.