South American Leagues · resolved market
Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1ea4273c48af94dd7ef3d2d405517679069ab45104ac3c018974850534a0ef9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,365$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.45 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 58c | 1,021$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.26 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 59c | 948.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.53 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 894.89$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.78 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 59c | 880.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.78 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 41c | 527.78$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.79 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 397.34$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.67 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Over | 55c | 214.85$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacab…4e20backed Under | 44c | 193.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 59c | 126.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 59c | 115$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.44per pick | 43cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…55fdbacked Under | 57c | 102.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 41c | 92.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 41c | 88.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 41c | 85.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 35c | 46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 45.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 59c | 45.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 59c | 45.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 59c | 43.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf076…4079backed Over | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 61c | 28.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 49c | 20.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 67c | 17.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5this page
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5Under won
- Audax CS Italiano vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Audax CS Italiano won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)Audax CS Italiano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.