Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83807f14a3b269ffcd9c5527527b8e78e02847288ea4122ad5a72f8e57b53874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 46c | 5,267$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.88 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Under | 71c | 4,182$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 3,205$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.49 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 20c | 2,449$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 51c | 1,550$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.06 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 29c | 1,528$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.84 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 45c | 1,145$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Over | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 23c | 827.83$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.51 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 27c | 583.22$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.41 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Under | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 55c | 360.63$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 70c | 309.7$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.49 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 18c | 308.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 13c | 299.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 79c | 288.43$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed Under | 73c | 279.01$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…09d0backed Under | 46c | 258.7$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 29c | 178.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 10c | 173.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 164.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 28c | 164.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f42…0524backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 27c | 118.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…11bcbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 33c | 89.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 64c | 87.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe503…6d7bbacked Over | 31c | 87.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 73c | 86.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 30c | 84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over | 28c | 76.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Under | 71c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 29c | 66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Under | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 70c | 55.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 29c | 54.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 29c | 47.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 44c | 42.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b3…52debacked Under | 77c | 36.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 30c | 33.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Under | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 70c | 14.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…e322backed Under | 79c | 13.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: Torino FC (-2.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)Torino FC won
- Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.