TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,281
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,840

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,281 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x912a…2e6abacked Over50c25,337$12,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,668.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under50c12,063$6,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,031.533441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c4,990$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.6298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over50c4,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.243450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0401747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Under50c3,880$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under56c3,572$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under62c3,076$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.91,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under50c2,560$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.8421548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Over48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-50.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Under49c2,232$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over40c2,200$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3161717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-63.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0202744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c1,952$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.1968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under51c1,569$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001520%3 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under50c1,313$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under51c1,196$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over50c1,192$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.1627453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over26c1,123$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.0813826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Under51c1,105$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over51c1,047$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.66567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under50c928.16$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.0843058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc674…dcd2backed Under52c744.27$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.0250%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over40c720.88$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.621353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under51c704.11$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.13056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd72e…b58fbacked Under50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.672832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under51c681.56$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Under52c520.17$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.494242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under51c503.43$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.055151%26 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under49c499.98$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9924953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under49c479.67$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9340447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c447.84$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.332854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over62c421.99$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.361060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over47c420$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.611348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over25c405$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.53813.2%5 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under64c404.56$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.1341144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Over50c399.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.86862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Over50c396.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.082441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over41c393.86$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.0891043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over50c376.33$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0815946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…dc0fbacked Under62c322.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under51c311.45$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.6113146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf57c…66febacked Over20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401450%7 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+78%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1775219.2%10 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under61c293.78$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1634239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under50c292.53$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4639354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over62c274.19$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.19875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Over51c270$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.32055%11 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over50c220.33$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3915354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ef9…39d4backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under68c205.14$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.094942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0813636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over48c179.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2122545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under80c166.25$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over31c160$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.42161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Under66c154.39$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.663964.1%25 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c151.97$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9941954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over62c137.1$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.115459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under50c127.74$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8712351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under49c126.92$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1912357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over49c119.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2236456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07f5…d680backed Under70c112.62$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.831855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84a1…f630backed Under49c106.12$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48db…b26ebacked Under50c102$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5215844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over51c99.55$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.783357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over51c93.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.051866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over43c93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.072825%7 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-44%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.197646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over48c88.85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4314442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d61…2641backed Under60c83.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+52.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under49c80.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.659826.5%26 W · 72 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over43c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.634553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4436…cf98backed Over51c78.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.322564%16 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over40c68.58$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.158232.9%27 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under52c64.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.637248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under50c62.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7721054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under48c61.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.544663%29 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Over43c58.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.311741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.695154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.024374.4%32 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under71c50.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.81662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2926747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over37c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.75844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-67.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254963.3%31 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252544%11 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over50c48.24$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.124146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over50c46.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.255054%27 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d9a…c3acbacked Under65c46.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under56c44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4211547.8%55 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Under38c42.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.986048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked Over51c41.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.533751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8c…880abacked Over48c41.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.684052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.